The Startup Powering Billions In Trades Every Day

Introduction and Company Overview 00:00

  • One Kronos is a new type of stock exchange, similar to NASDAQ, handling over 0.3% of all US equities trades daily within three years of launching, totaling billions of dollars in trades.
  • The platform enables advanced, atomic trades that are especially valuable to institutional investors, such as executing complex strategies in a single bundled transaction.
  • Founders Kelly Littlepage and Steven Johnson discuss their journey from early friendships and technological tinkering in Colorado to launching a company fundamentally changing institutional markets.

Founders’ Background and Early Inspiration 01:25

  • The founders met in middle school and bonded over a shared interest in computers, later maintaining their relationship through college and different tech careers.
  • Academic experiences, especially in auction theory and physics, influenced their view of market structures as computational and mathematical problems.
  • Exposure to real-world trading problems and auction theory led to the realization that capital markets could benefit from new types of exchange mechanisms.

Concept Development and Technical Foundations 03:18

  • The founders connected problems experienced in trading (such as mismatches in how markets and traders interact) with their backgrounds in cyber security and large-scale data analysis.
  • They viewed stock exchanges as distributed databases, identifying latency and arbitrage conditions as technical challenges to be solved.
  • Their focus shifted to developing an exchange immune to latency race conditions and building advanced optimization and matching techniques.

Company Formation and Early Challenges 06:14

  • Initial conception began around 2011, with the project officially starting as a company in 2016 after the founders left their jobs and joined Y Combinator (YC).
  • The journey to launch included navigating YC rejections and advice to build quick MVPs, but ultimately took five to six years and $10 million to fully launch.
  • They addressed not only scaling complex optimizations but also making combinatorial auction concepts accessible to market participants.

Regulatory and Operational Hurdles 09:26

  • The process involved educating regulators on their novel exchange mechanics, as One Kronos departed from ubiquitous market models like price-time priority.
  • The technical and regulatory challenges were compounded by the need to legitimize their approach, including fulfilling mundane requirements like demonstrating in-office printing capabilities.
  • They streamlined operations, automating regulatory tasks wherever possible, and benefited from growing industry conviction in their model.

Solving the Market’s Cold Start Problem 13:02

  • They faced the daunting commercial challenge of attracting initial liquidity, requiring both buyers and sellers on day one.
  • Early adopters connected to the exchange despite minimal liquidity, motivated by the potential for market innovation and first-mover advantages.
  • The first day saw just 200 shares traded; it took multiple months before substantial trading activity and a growth “hockey stick” occurred.

Motivation and Persistence in the Face of Doubt 15:14

  • Despite years of skepticism and the absence of early trades, the founders were encouraged by consistent feedback affirming the correctness of their model, even as many doubted its feasibility.
  • Their commitment stemmed from a first-principles belief in the problem and a determination not to abandon an idea they felt must exist.

Auction Theory and Market Design Insight 17:39

  • The founders describe how traditional markets often force participants into inefficient strategies due to sequential auctions, leading to exposure problems and missed opportunities.
  • Combinatorial auctions, like those used in FCC spectrum sales, allow participants to express complex constraints, leading to more efficient, risk-managed outcomes.
  • One Kronos introduces atomic, multi-asset trades where constraints are embedded, fundamentally changing how trading algorithms interact with the market.

Product, Team, and Company Culture 21:40

  • The company operates with a team of about 40 people, handling a significant share of US equity trading with a mix of employees from technical and finance backgrounds.
  • Their culture emphasizes engineering, first-principles thinking, and maintaining a small, highly effective team, inspired by companies like WhatsApp.

Future Applicability and Vision 23:20

  • The founders envision applying their model to other markets, including foreign currencies, European equities, and even non-capital market assets.
  • They believe most transactions involving substitutes, complements, or other constraints can benefit from smart market designs.
  • The inefficiency of current compute (GPU) marketplaces is highlighted as an example of where combinatorial auctions could unlock significant value.

Career Choice Reflections and Advice 27:08

  • The founders discuss the tradeoffs of leaving lucrative finance jobs to pursue risky startups, noting the importance of passion for the problem over financial incentives.
  • Personal and family considerations played roles in their decisions, with minimizing regret and being comfortable with uncertainty as guiding principles.

Opportunities for Innovation in Finance 30:57

  • The founders encourage others from quant finance backgrounds to tackle unsolved problems in financial infrastructure, noting the challenges posed by limited public information.
  • The field requires a critical systems engineering mindset rather than a “move fast and break things” approach, given the scale and stakes involved.
  • Their long-term mission is to drive the cost of matching trades to zero, aligning profits with genuine user value, and continuously breaking down complex sub-problems in market infrastructure.