I’ve run 75+ businesses. Here’s why you’re probably chasing the wrong idea. | Andrew Wilkinson

Strategies for Startup Ideas & Niche Selection 00:00

  • Many first-time entrepreneurs make the mistake of starting in highly competitive or "cool" industries (e.g., AI, restaurants), which often leads to failure.
  • It's easier to succeed by targeting less crowded markets with less competition, even if they seem less glamorous (e.g., funeral homes, pest control, government form software).
  • Andrew emphasizes "fish where the fish are," suggesting entrepreneurs seek out small fishing holes (niche markets) with lots of fish (demand) and few fishermen (competitors).
  • Early wins in simple, service-based businesses help build confidence and momentum.
  • Choosing a business you enjoy and that plays to your unique strengths or "unfair advantage" increases odds of success.
  • Repeatedly going into business models where others have failed is risky—many industries are tough for reasons not obvious from the outside.

Differentiating a Job from a Scalable Business 09:21

  • Starting a business that's too hands-on can become a job you dislike unless it reaches scale (with employees, systems).
  • Scale allows founders to move away from daily repetitive work and focus on what they love (e.g., sales, digital marketing).
  • "Lazy leadership" is useful: quickly delegate or avoid the tasks you hate to maximize satisfaction and efficiency.

Choosing Between Digital and Physical Businesses 12:05

  • The decision to choose between a digital/software business and a physical/real-world business (like pressure washing) depends on your unique skills and advantage.
  • Look for profit opportunities in adjacent industries—for example, restaurant vendors (cleaning services, suppliers) might be more lucrative than owning the restaurant itself.
  • Success often comes from leveraging your background and skills in an industry you understand deeply.

Maximizing Business Model Profitability 15:23

  • Find the most profitable application of your existing skills (e.g., shift focus from low-paying clients to higher-budget clients such as realtors or wealth managers).
  • Repeatedly refine your focus to discover where the best return on effort exists.

Avoiding Overcrowded or Doomed Business Models 17:11

  • Many fail by entering industries with lots of historical failures or active, aggressive competition; this is rarely outsmarted with just better execution.
  • Flashy, highly competitive ideas (like productivity apps, bars, or local news) are often traps with low odds of success and high stress.
  • Boring, "unsexy" businesses may prove surprisingly lucrative and less competitive (e.g., government form-filling services).
  • Bootstrapped businesses can scale large without raising venture capital, potentially reaching hundreds of millions in revenue, especially in less crowded markets.

Decision: Lifestyle vs. Venture-Scale Businesses 25:34

  • Bootstrapped (lifestyle) companies are not inherently small; they can become sizable if the business model has a strong moat (brand, network effect).
  • Venture scale requires burning significant capital, often best reserved for massive, highly competitive or technologically complex opportunities.
  • Entering a space already targeted by venture capital requires a different set of expectations; bootstrapping works best where the market is too small for VC interest and competitive intensity.
  • Sustainable success often comes from smaller, focused, and non-VC-appealing niches.

What Makes a Great Business Model 31:25

  • Great businesses have a strong moat, such as a beloved brand or significant network effect making them difficult to disrupt (e.g., Letterboxd, Coca-Cola).
  • High switching costs (e.g., Salesforce) can provide defensibility, though this is less consumer-friendly.
  • When buying businesses, Andrew leaves successful teams in place, making minimal changes, and seeks businesses that are resilient, not easily broken by staffing changes.

Hiring and People Management Insights 36:53

  • People issues are the root of most business problems; filtering for high-quality, compatible people is critical.
  • Bad hires are rarely fixed by coaching; if there's doubt about someone, swift action is better.
  • CEOs and key hires will follow their instincts and experiences, not your guidance—align hiring with actual experience and expertise needed.
  • Hire fully-formed, experienced people for specific needs rather than solely for potential.

Leveraging AI for Work and Life Automation 42:45

  • Andrew uses AI tools (notably Lindy) to automate most email, calendar, CRM, and task management, replacing the need for a personal assistant.
  • Builds and manages multiple AI agents to process routine tasks, enhance productivity, and improve organization.
  • Other AI tools used: Replit for coding/web projects, Limitless for personal record-keeping, Claude and Gemini for writing and large document processing, Perplexity for research.
  • AI is used for creative productivity hacks—automated meeting preparation, personalized recommendations, medicine cabinet inventory, and more.
  • The AI "stack" supports work that previously required several team members.

AI and the Future of Employment 54:43

  • Job displacement driven by AI is already underway in research, translation, assistants, and administrative support.
  • More advanced AI could dramatically alter all knowledge work, especially if models achieve the capabilities predicted by leading researchers.
  • Short-term changes are often overestimated, long-term shifts underestimated; in the medium term, many new opportunities will emerge even as established roles disappear.
  • Andrew advises becoming highly proficient with AI tools to build wealth and remain relevant as the landscape evolves.
  • Prompts may become more important than coding itself as AI interfaces become more natural and automation increases.

Life, Money, and Happiness Lessons 65:29

  • Money and external achievement do not resolve internal sources of anxiety or unhappiness.
  • Anxiety, stress, and negative comparison persist at all levels of wealth.
  • True happiness is not found in chasing ever-increasing milestones; reframing the pursuit of money (e.g., towards philanthropy) and reducing attachment to possessions increases satisfaction.
  • Medication (SSRIs for anxiety, ADHD medication) had a far greater positive impact on Andrew’s happiness than money or business success.
  • Societal stigma around mental health medication is often misplaced; addressing root personal challenges, even with medication, can be transformative.
  • Discovery of ADHD led to greater self-understanding and improvements not only professionally, but also in personal life and relationships.

Notable Tools, Books, and Final Thoughts 81:07

  • Andrew recommends two books: "The Laws of Human Nature" by Robert Green (on psychology and behavior), and "How to Get Rich" by Felix Dennis (insights into wealth, its drawbacks).
  • Favorite recent product: Madic robot vacuum (machine vision-powered home cleaning).
  • Life motto: "Easy choices, hard life; hard choices, easy life."
  • Memorable personal story: Met Steve Jobs as a teenager, demonstrating that asking boldly can lead to surprising experiences.
  • Invitation to contact Andrew if visiting Victoria, Canada or if considering selling a high-quality business that fits Tiny’s acquisition criteria.