Machines of Buying and Selling Grace - Adam Behrens, New Generation

Evolution of Stores and E-Commerce 00:03

  • The concept of a "store" has evolved from clerk-assisted shopping to self-service big box retail, and then online e-commerce with vast selections
  • Early stores focused on personal interaction; the internet brought 24/7 global browsing but created a "sea of sameness"
  • Large online retailers still attract massive numbers of shoppers: Walmart gets almost 500 million, and Home Depot 170 million online monthly

The Store in an AI-Powered Future 02:18

  • AI shifts the focus from digitizing merchandise to digitizing participants (merchants and consumers) and their interactions
  • Static websites may be replaced by merchant and consumer agents, with payment infrastructure moving toward higher-level intent infrastructure
  • Future stores will feature dynamic, generative interfaces and infrastructure that adapt in real time to user and agent needs

Agentic Interfaces and Transaction Processes 03:17

  • Two possible futures: AI agents browsing optimized websites or programmatic access via APIs to merchants
  • Example: Consumer agents could handle intent expression, dynamic catalog browsing, and complete checkout on behalf of users
  • Programmatic access through unified endpoints could allow rich, on-the-fly interaction and purchasing without traditional web navigation
  • Focus remains on high-quality conversion and seamless transactions

Challenges of Agentic Commerce 04:51

  • Main transactional challenge: Enabling software to perform purchases reliably
  • Existing solutions: Virtual cards through platforms like Stripe SDK or delegated authentication (e.g. Visa's work), enabling agents to use real user payment methods
  • Buyer intent in the future could be explicitly captured through conversational data, not inferred from keywords or site metrics

High-Intent Users and Fulfillment Implications 07:21

  • Users coming from AI channels tend to have higher conversion, spend more, and have higher lifetime value
  • Easier returns for high-value users may reduce the cost impact of occasional mistaken purchases

Seller Intent and Marketplace Dynamics 07:49

  • Product pages today are static, but agentic commerce will require real-time availability, dynamic pricing, and product bundling across merchants
  • Existing solutions for inventory and store access (product feeds, web scraping) are inadequate; a unified API ("plaid for product data") is proposed

Preferences and Market Design 09:35

  • Today, buyer and seller preferences are siloed and narrow, with little data sharing
  • The future envisions expansive, two-sided preferences: richer context from both users and businesses, including real-time goals and inventory status
  • Challenges include the complexity and changing nature of preferences, conflicting buyer/seller interests, and incentive misalignment
  • Solutions may draw from financial market systems, introducing third-party market makers for coordination

Integrating Intelligence and Dynamic Interfaces 11:18

  • True "agentic" commerce needs not only explicit intents and preferences but also intelligence that can reason and negotiate on behalf of both consumers and merchants
  • Infrastructure must evolve to coordinate and reason over participant needs and dynamically generate interfaces

Fortune 500 Adaptation and Case Study: Samsung 11:53

  • Contrary to perception, Fortune 500 companies are often forward-looking due to surviving repeated technological shifts
  • Samsung example: From a fish merchant to a tech giant over 150 years, now planning for the AI-commerical future
  • Implementation steps: Abstracting product systems into cohesive APIs, connecting product data to other business data sources, integrating branding, enabling AI-driven interface experimentation, and supporting agentic transactions
  • Merchants see higher conversion rates from AI-driven buyers

Future of Stores as Conversational Interfaces 15:07

  • Physical and digital stores will evolve, not disappear—returning to their origins as locations for conversation and transaction
  • The dominant interface of the future is likely to be a conversation

Audience Q&A: Timelines, Payments, and Platform Control 15:41

  • The shift to agentic commerce is happening quickly, with products like ChatGPT gradually integrating shopping but not yet completing the user journey in-app
  • Future sites may become modular, with data and components used across platforms rather than requiring users to visit websites
  • Payment rails: Credit cards are a practical bridge, but stablecoins/crypto could be a native long-term solution for agentic economies
  • Super apps (China, Brazil) parallel: AI platforms aim to become central commerce hubs, but merchants seek control over their presence and customer connection
  • Revenue sharing in the agentic commerce ecosystem is expected, likely through affiliate or high-quality data attribution rather than traditional advertising